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		<title>Washington, Moscow &amp; the Invisible Tip of the Syrian Iceberg</title>
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		<pubDate>Tue, 17 Jan 2012 17:50:32 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description><![CDATA[January 15, 2012 By Georgy Gounev &#8211; first printed by American Thinker Jan 15, 2012 The obvious truth is that Syria is in deep crisis. What remains unclear is the vast area encompassing the answer to some important questions involving the regime that ruled Syria for decades. For instance, what are its strengths (if any) [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=foraff.wordpress.com&amp;blog=8303388&amp;post=342&amp;subd=foraff&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>January 15, 2012<br />
By Georgy Gounev &#8211; first printed by American Thinker Jan 15, 2012</p>
<p>The obvious truth is that Syria is in deep crisis.  What remains unclear is the vast area encompassing the answer to some important questions involving the regime that ruled Syria for decades.  For instance, what are its strengths (if any) and its weaknesses?  What about the background of the motivation and the actions of the international enemies and supporters of President Bashar Assad?</p>
<p>Maybe today Syria would be a much quieter country if not for the events that took place on February 3, 1982.  It was at the early dawn when the Islamic fundamentalists, based in the city of Hama, proclaimed the outbreak of an open insurrection against the regime of President Hafez Assad, the father of the current Syrian leader.  By the end of that day, 90 activists of the ruling Baath Party were murdered.</p>
<p>President Assad decided to take the matter into his own hands by ordering the tank and the artillery detachments of his Army to &#8220;pacify&#8221; the rebellious city.  This order unleashed a true bloodbath in Hama, which, along with the bulk of the Islamic insurgents, took away the lives of thousands of innocent people.  The psychological trauma and the deep wounds inflicted by the unbelievable cruelty of the regime never healed during the decades that followed.  This massacre  transcended the death of Hafez Assad and impacted the rule of his son.</p>
<p>It is the long accumulated hatred that currently plays the role of the emotional fuel behind the decision of many people to take part in the present-day massive anti-government demonstrations.</p>
<p>Undoubtedly, the very existence of a secular and authoritarian dictatorship in Syria continues to bring to the streets a motley crowd of protesters that includes the swollen ranks of the religiously motivated opposition, together with all shades of secular enemies of the regime &#8212; a situation remarkably similar to the events in Egypt that toppled President Mubarak&#8217;s government.</p>
<p>The Islamic fundamentalist component of the protest movement is also involved in violent actions against the forces of the regime that already had brought about serious casualties on the government side of the divide.</p>
<p>Another important fact that is systematically ignored is the reluctance of the substantial Christian minority of Syria to see the old regime gone in keeping with the preferences of the American State Department.</p>
<p>This reluctance is based not on an excessive loyalty toward Bashar Assad, but rather on the fear of the establishment of an Islamo-totalitarian dictatorship perceived by the majority of Syrian Christians as the most likely alternative to the Baathist rule.  </p>
<p>This attitude is powerfully reinforced by the developments in Egypt in general, and by the triumph of the Islamic fundamentalists in the elections that recently took place there.</p>
<p>Given that Syria plays a very important role in the Middle Eastern strategy of Russia, so far it is Moscow that plays the main role, along with Iran, in the survival of the Baathist regime.</p>
<p>What escapes the attention of the American analysts and commentators is the difference between the effectiveness of the actions of Russia and the complete lack of consistent strategy developed by the Obama administration with regard to the Middle East.</p>
<p>When the anti-government demonstrations at Tahrir Square intensified, the administration was quick enough to disengage itself as soon as possible from President Mubarak.</p>
<p>There were no attempts made to identify and to establish contacts with the secular components of the Egyptian opposition.  There was no effort designed to elaborate a powerful message making abundantly clear that the United States will cancel every bit of financial support to any Egyptian government that will discriminate against women and minorities, that will violate basic human rights, and that will ignore its responsibilities with regard to the provisions of the peace treaty with Israel.</p>
<p>As far as the Syrian crisis is concerned, all the Department of State has come up with so far is the appeal to President Bashar Assad to step down.  Such a recommendation leaves plenty of room for the question of how many lives will be destroyed in the ensuing chaos, and of who will take over the country given the long tradition of a belligerent Syrian branch of  Islamic fundamentalism.</p>
<p>The actions of Moscow in regard to the Syrian crisis are completely different from the American policies simply because they are part of a consistent strategy designed to provide stability to the country that had remained the only ally of Moscow in the Arab world.</p>
<p>One of the main reasons for the Russian support of  President Assad&#8217;s regime could easily be explained with the military aspects of the cooperation between both countries going back to the Soviet era.  Today, the Syrian port of Tartus is the only base of the Russian Navy in the Mediterranean Sea.</p>
<p>There is more to it, though &#8212; the Russian support for Syria opens additional opportunities for a growing role of Moscow in the upcoming stages of the Iran-related developments.</p>
<p>The confusion marking the outright American abandonment of Mubarak&#8217;s regime, combined with the lack of any attempt to attract its secular opposition, produced the disastrous results of the Egyptian elections.  Unlike American confusion, Moscow made it abundantly clear that its support of Assad is far from unconditional. </p>
<p>On the one hand, the Russians have established contacts with the secular opposition to Assad, while at the same time they are pressuring the Syrian president to try to reach an understanding at least with some categories of his numerous enemies.</p>
<p>Due to its growing influence over the Syrian Christian community, the Russian Orthodox Church plays an active role in Moscow&#8217;s strategy designed to provide stability amidst the turmoil.  The recent visit to Damascus of the head of the Russian Orthodox Church, Patriarch Cyril, was an important step in this direction.</p>
<p>What in many ways remained hidden is the fact that similarly to the case with Afghanistan, the interests of the United States and Russia in Syria coincide in one very important way: neither Washington nor Moscow would be happy to see the replacement of the Assad regime with an Islamo-totalitarian dictatorship.  Whether the realization of this fact will have some impact on an important dimension of the future of the American-Russian relations creates a situation the outcome of which remains to be seen.<br />
Georgy Gounev, Ph.D. teaches at two colleges in Southern California and  is the author of the book The Dark Side of the Crescent Moon. The Islamization of Europe and its Impact on the American-Russian Relations, Foreign Policy Challenges LLC, Laguna Hills, 2011.</p>
<p>Read more: http://www.americanthinker.com/2012/01/washington_moscow_and_the_invisible_tip_of_the_syrian_iceberg.html#ixzz1jjsBsXND</p>
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		<title>Iran, the U.S. and the Strait of Hormuz Crisis</title>
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		<pubDate>Tue, 17 Jan 2012 17:37:01 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description><![CDATA[By George Friedman Reprinted From Stratfor Jan 17, 2012 The United States reportedly sent a letter to Iran via multiple intermediaries last week warning Tehran that any attempt to close the Strait of Hormuz constituted a red line for Washington. The same week, a chemist associated with Iran&#8217;s nuclear program was killed in Tehran. In [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=foraff.wordpress.com&amp;blog=8303388&amp;post=338&amp;subd=foraff&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>By George Friedman Reprinted From Stratfor Jan 17, 2012<br />
The United States reportedly sent a letter to Iran via multiple intermediaries last week warning Tehran that any attempt to close the Strait of Hormuz constituted a red line for Washington. The same week, a chemist associated with Iran&#8217;s nuclear program was killed in Tehran. In Ankara, Iranian parliamentary speaker Ali Larijani met with Turkish officials and has been floating hints of flexibility in negotiations over Iran&#8217;s nuclear program.<br />
This week, a routine rotation of U.S. aircraft carriers is taking place in the Middle East, with the potential for three carrier strike groups to be on station in the U.S. Fifth Fleet&#8217;s area of operations and a fourth carrier strike group based in Japan about a week&#8217;s transit from the region. Next week, Gen. Michael Dempsey, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, will travel to Israel to meet with senior Israeli officials. And Iran is scheduling another set of war games in the Persian Gulf for February that will focus on the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps&#8217; irregular tactics for closing the Strait of Hormuz.<br />
While tensions are escalating in the Persian Gulf, the financial crisis in Europe has continued, with downgrades in France&#8217;s credit rating the latest blow. Meanwhile, China continued its struggle to maintain exports in the face of economic weakness among its major customers while inflation continued to increase the cost of Chinese exports.<br />
Fundamental changes in how Europe and China work and their long-term consequences represent the major systemic shifts in the international system. In the more immediate future, however, the U.S.-Iranian dynamic has the most serious potential consequences for the world.<br />
The U.S.-Iranian Dynamic<br />
The increasing tensions in the region are not unexpected. As we have argued for some time, the U.S. invasion of Iraq and the subsequent decision to withdraw created a massive power vacuum in Iraq that Iran needed &#8212; and was able &#8212; to fill. Iran and Iraq fought a brutal war in the 1980s that caused about 1 million Iranian casualties, and Iran&#8217;s fundamental national interest is assuring that no Iraqi regime able to threaten Iranian national security re-emerges. The U.S. invasion and withdrawal from Iraq provided Iran an opportunity to secure its western frontier, one it could not pass on.<br />
If Iran does come to have a dominant influence in Iraq &#8212; and I don&#8217;t mean Iran turning Iraq into a satellite &#8212; several things follow. Most important, the status of the Arabian Peninsula is subject to change. On paper, Iran has the most substantial conventional military force of any nation in the Persian Gulf. Absent outside players, power on paper is not insignificant. While technologically sophisticated, the military strength of the Arabian Peninsula nations on paper is much smaller, and they lack the Iranian military&#8217;s ideologically committed manpower.<br />
But Iran&#8217;s direct military power is more the backdrop than the main engine of Iranian power. It is the strength of Tehran&#8217;s covert capabilities and influence that makes Iran significant. Iran&#8217;s covert intelligence capability is quite good. It has spent decades building political alliances by a range of means, and not only by nefarious methods. The Iranians have worked among the Shia, but not exclusively so; they have built a network of influence among a range of classes and religious and ethnic groups. And they have systematically built alliances and relationships with significant figures to counter overt U.S. power. With U.S. military power departing Iraq, Iran&#8217;s relationships become all the more valuable.<br />
The withdrawal of U.S. forces has had a profound psychological impact on the political elites of the Persian Gulf. Since the decline of British power after World War II, the United States has been the guarantor of the Arabian Peninsula&#8217;s elites and therefore of the flow of oil from the region. The foundation of that guarantee has been military power, as seen in the response to Iraq&#8217;s invasion of Kuwait in 1990. The United States still has substantial military power in the Persian Gulf, and its air and naval forces could likely cope with any overt provocation by Iran.<br />
But that&#8217;s not how the Iranians operate. For all their rhetoric, they are cautious in their policies. This does not mean they are passive. It simply means that they avoid high-risk moves. They will rely on their covert capabilities and relationships. Those relationships now exist in an environment in which many reasonable Arab leaders see a shift in the balance of power, with the United States growing weaker and less predictable in the region and Iran becoming stronger. This provides fertile soil for Iranian allies to pressure regional regimes into accommodations with Iran.<br />
The Syrian Angle<br />
Events in Syria compound this situation. The purported imminent collapse of Syrian President Bashar al Assad&#8217;s regime in Syria has proved less imminent than many in the West imagined. At the same time, the isolation of the al Assad regime by the West &#8212; and more important, by other Arab countries &#8212; has created a situation where the regime is more dependent than ever on Iran.<br />
Should the al Assad regime &#8212; or the Syrian regime without al Assad &#8212; survive, Iran would therefore enjoy tremendous influence with Syria, as well as with Hezbollah in Lebanon. The current course in Iraq coupled with the survival of an Alawite regime in Syria would create an Iranian sphere of influence stretching from western Afghanistan to the Mediterranean. This would represent a fundamental shift in the regional balance of power and probably would redefine Iranian relations with the Arabian Peninsula. This is obviously in Iran&#8217;s interest. It is not in the interests of the United States, however.<br />
The United States has sought to head this off via a twofold response. Clandestinely, it has engaged in an active campaign of sabotage and assassination targeting Iran&#8217;s nuclear efforts. Publicly, it has created a sanctions regime against Iran, most recently targeting Iran&#8217;s oil exports. However, the latter effort faces many challenges.<br />
Japan, the No. 2 buyer of Iranian crude, has pledged its support but has not outlined concrete plans to reduce its purchases. The Chinese and Indians &#8212; Iran&#8217;s No. 1 and 3 buyers of crude, respectively &#8212; will continue to buy from Iran despite increased U.S. pressure. In spite of U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner&#8217;s visit last week, the Chinese are not prepared to impose sanctions, and the Russians are not likely to enforce sanctions even if they agreed to them. Turkey is unwilling to create a confrontation with Iran and is trying to remain a vital trade conduit for the Iranians regardless of sanctions. At the same time, while the Europeans seem prepared to participate in harder-hitting sanctions on Iranian oil, they already have delayed action on these sanctions and certainly are in no position politically or otherwise to participate in military action. The European economic crisis is at root a political crisis, so even if the Europeans could add significant military weight, which they generally lack, concerted action of any sort is unlikely.<br />
Neither, for that matter, does the United States have the ability to do much militarily. Invading Iran is out of the question. The mountainous geography of Iran, a nation of about 70 million people, makes direct occupation impossible given available American forces.<br />
Air operations against Iran are an option, but they could not be confined to nuclear facilities. Iran still doesn&#8217;t have nuclear weapons, and while nuclear weapons would compound the strategic problem, the problem would still exist without them. The center of gravity of Iran&#8217;s power is the relative strength of its conventional forces in the region. Absent those, Iran would be less capable of wielding covert power, as the psychological matrix would shift.<br />
An air campaign against Iran&#8217;s conventional forces would play to American military strengths, but it has two problems. First, it would be an extended campaign, one lasting months. Iran&#8217;s capabilities are large and dispersed, and as seen in Desert Storm and Kosovo against weaker opponents, such operations take a long time and are not guaranteed to be effective. Second, the Iranians have counters. One, of course, is the Strait of Hormuz. The second is the use of its special operations forces and allies in and out of the region to conduct terrorist attacks. An extended air campaign coupled with terrorist attacks could increase distrust of American power rather than increase it among U.S. allies, to say nothing of the question of whether Washington could sustain political support in a coalition or within the United States itself.<br />
The Covert Option<br />
The United States and Israel both have covert options as well. They have networks of influence in the region and highly capable covert forces, which they have said publicly that they would use to limit Iran&#8217;s acquisition of nuclear weapons without resorting to overt force. We assume, though we lack evidence, that the assassination of the Iranian chemist associated with the country&#8217;s nuclear program last week was either a U.S. or Israeli operation or some combination of the two. Not only did it eliminate a scientist, it also bred insecurity and morale problems among those working on the program. It also signaled the region that the United States and Israel have options inside Iran.<br />
The U.S. desire to support an Iranian anti-government movement generally has failed. Tehran showed in 2009 that it could suppress demonstrations, and it was obvious that the demonstrators did not have the widespread support needed to overcome such repression. Though the United States has sought to support internal dissidents in Iran since 1979, it has not succeeded in producing a meaningful threat to the clerical regime. Therefore, covert operations are being aimed directly at the nuclear program with the hope that successes there might ripple through other, more immediately significant sectors.<br />
As we have long argued, the Iranians already have a &#8220;nuclear option,&#8221; namely, the prospect of blockading the Strait of Hormuz, through which roughly 35 percent of seaborne crude and 20 percent of the world&#8217;s traded oil passes daily. Doing so would hurt them, too, of course. But failing to deter an air or covert campaign, they might choose to close off the strait. Temporarily disrupting the flow of oil, even intermittently, could rapidly create a global economic crisis given the fragility of the world economy.<br />
The United States does not want to see that. Washington will be extremely cautious in its actions unless it can act with a high degree of assurance that it can prevent such a disruption, something difficult to guarantee. It also will restrain Israel, which might have the ability to strike at a few nuclear facilities but lacks the force to completely eliminate the program much less target Iran&#8217;s conventional capability and manage the consequences of that strike in the Strait of Hormuz. Only the United States could do all that, and given the possible consequences, it will be loathe to attempt it.<br />
The United States continues, therefore, with sanctions and covert actions while Iran continues building its covert power in Iraq and in the region. Each will try to convince the region that its power will be supreme in a year. The region is skeptical of both, but will have to live with one of the two, or with an ongoing test of wills &#8212; an unnerving prospect. Each side is seeking to magnify its power for psychological effect without crossing a red line that prompts the other to take extreme measures. Iran signals its willingness to attempt to close Hormuz and its development of nuclear weapons, but it doesn&#8217;t cross the line to actually closing the strait or detonating a nuclear device. The United States pressures Iran and moves forces around, but it doesn&#8217;t cross the red line of commencing military actions. Thus, each avoids triggering unacceptable actions by the other.<br />
The problem for the United States is that the status quo ultimately works against it. If al Assad survives and if the situation in Iraq proceeds as it has been proceeding, then Iran is creating a reality that will define the region. The United States does not have a broad and effective coalition, and certainly not one that would rally in the event of war. It has only Israel, and Israel is as uneasy with direct military action as the United States is. It does not want to see a failed attack and it does not want to see more instability in the Arab world. For all its rhetoric, Israel has a weak hand to play. The only virtue of the American hand is that it is stronger &#8212; but only relatively speaking.<br />
For the United States, preventing the expansion of an Iranian sphere of influence is a primary concern. Iraq is going to be a difficult arena to stop Iran&#8217;s expansion. Syria therefore is key at present. Al Assad appears weak, and his replacement by a Sunni government would limit &#8212; but not destroy &#8212; any Iranian sphere of influence. It would be a reversal for Iran, and the United States badly needs to apply one. But the problem is that the United States cannot be seen as the direct agent of regime change in Syria, and al Assad is not as weak as has been claimed. Even so, Syria is where the United States can work to block Iran without crossing Iran&#8217;s red lines.<br />
The normal outcome of a situation like this one, in which neither Iran nor the United States can afford to cross the other&#8217;s red lines since the consequences would be too great for each, would be some sort of negotiation toward a longer-term accommodation. Ideology aside &#8212; and the United States negotiating with the &#8220;Axis of Evil&#8221; or Iran with the &#8220;Great Satan&#8221; would be tough sells to their respective domestic audiences &#8212; the problem with this is that it is difficult to see what each has to offer the other. What Iran wants &#8212; a dominant position in the region and a redefinition of how oil revenues are allocated and distributed &#8212; would make the United States dependent on Iran. What the United States wants &#8212; an Iran that does not build a sphere of influence but instead remains within its borders &#8212; would cost Iran a historic opportunity to assert its longstanding claims.<br />
We find ourselves in a situation in which neither side wants to force the other into extreme steps and neither side is in a position to enter into broader accommodations. And that&#8217;s what makes the situation dangerous. When fundamental issues are at stake, each side is in a position to profoundly harm the other if pressed, and neither side is in a position to negotiate a broad settlement, a long game of chess ensues. And in that game of chess, the possibilities of miscalculation, of a bluff that the other side mistakes for an action, are very real.<br />
Europe and China are redefining the way the world works. But kingdoms run on oil, as someone once said, and a lot of oil comes through Hormuz. Iran may or may not be able to close the strait, and that reshapes Europe and China. The New Year thus begins where we expected: at the Strait of Hormuz</p>
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		<title>IS IT ISLAMOPHOBIA OR PRO-ISLAMIC ANTI-AMERICANISM?</title>
		<link>http://foraff.wordpress.com/2011/09/16/is-it-islamophobia-or-pro-islamic-anti-americanism/</link>
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		<pubDate>Fri, 16 Sep 2011 23:01:37 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description><![CDATA[Georgy Gounev, georgygounev@yahoo.com            September 9, 2011  Is there such a thing as radical Islam? The authors of a rather pretentious report entitled “Fear,Inc &#8211; the Roots of the Islamophobia Network in America” created by the Center for American Progress (CAP), a Washington D.C. based left-wing think tank are absolutely certain that there is no such [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=foraff.wordpress.com&amp;blog=8303388&amp;post=334&amp;subd=foraff&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>Georgy Gounev, </strong><a href="http://us.mc817.mail.yahoo.com/mc/compose?to=georgygounev@yahoo.com" target="_blank"><strong>georgygounev@yahoo.com</strong></a><strong>            September 9, 2011</strong></p>
<p> Is there such a thing as radical Islam?</p>
<p>The authors of a rather pretentious report entitled “Fear,Inc &#8211; the Roots of the Islamophobia Network in America” created by the Center for American Progress (CAP), a Washington D.C. based left-wing think tank are absolutely certain that there is no such thing. They go even further with their claim that everyone who holds the opposite view is a sinister character obsessed by a dark force with the name of Islamophobia.</p>
<p>Unlike the case with the allegedly nonexistent radical version of Islam, the creators of the report have a crystal clear definition of Islamophobia expressed in the following lines:  “Before we begin a word about the term Islamophobia.  We don’t use this term lightly. We define it as an exaggerated fear, hatred, and hostility toward Islam and Muslims that is perpetuated by negative stereotypes resulting in bias, discrimination and the marginalization and exclusion of Muslims from America’s social, political, and civic life.”  (1)</p>
<p>This definition looks quite clear. By<strong> </strong>following through the exhaustive report however, the reader will discover a huge abnormality. Obviously, the authors of the report have ignored a very important requirement mandatory for anyone who is trying to analyze the surrounding realities.  The rule is a really simple one:  Before addressing the nature and the degree of any reaction to some important development, the phenomenon causing the reaction has to be analyzed first.  In other words, without saying a word about the nature of radical Islam, the CAP  report attacks the individuals and the organizations trying to attract the public attention on the magnitude of the danger stemming from radical Islam.</p>
<p>The publication creates as well a completely wrong image of the Muslim community presented as a collective victim exposed to a permanent bashing from the conservative and vicious “right-wingers” who, without any apparent reason, hate all Muslims. By the way, this statement is in full-keeping with the Jihadist propaganda which also claims that the Muslim community is under permanent attack from the Islamophobes.  Behind those claims is hidden the desire to conceal the identity and the main features of radical Islam.  </p>
<p>Regardless of the huge ideological difference separating CAP from some of the individuals its authors are criticizing in one important aspect their attitudes with regard to the Muslim community are equally wrong.</p>
<p>From the leftist point of view, the Muslim community represents a monolithic and good entity subjected to the assaults of bad and hysterical right wingers. From the point of view of some conservatives though the same community is also monolithic, but in a bad way, because, according to them, Islam is not a religion in the true sense of the term, but rather a kind of a cult.</p>
<p>The wrongness of both extreme views has two aspects. The first one starts from the correct premise that Islam is a unifying force providing the common bond between the different segments of the gigantic global Muslim community. What the holders of those views fail to see, are the divisions within the same community. Due to this fact, the aforementioned holders of the opposite views are not able to see the huge difference between medieval Islam and its contemporary extreme version.           </p>
<p>Far from trying to hide or idealize the numerous rough sides of medieval Islam, it is beyond any doubt that the Jihadists have broken many of the Koranic requirements. The Koran, for instance, is very specific in its explicit condemnation of any murder of a Muslim committed by another Muslim.  Inspired by the hateful ideologies of Saudi related Wahhabism or by the Iran related Shia branch of Islamo- totalitarianism, the Jihadists violate this important rule on a daily basis.</p>
<p>Although there is much more to it &#8211; as a matter of fact, the Islamic fundamentalists murdered more Muslims than the representatives of any other religion.  In the eyes of the Wahhabists, the rest of the Muslims are “heretics,” and consequently, they are even more dangerous than the Christians or the Jews. The murders of Muslims planned and executed by the Wahhabists, became a part of the daily life in Algeria throughout the nineties of the last century, and in Iran, Afghanistan, Yemen, Nigeria, and Bangladesh during the last decade.  Since 2001, in Pakistan alone 35,000 Muslims have fallen victim of the conflict unleashed by the Islamo-totalitarians.</p>
<p>Another Koranic rule is also conveniently forgotten by all those who think that contemporary Jihadism is just a part of the traditional main-line Islam. This rule stipulates that suicide is an absolutely forbidden option for every Muslim. The very act of suicide ranks prominently amongst the unforgivable sins of the Islamic ethos. The “arguments” provided by high-ranking Wahhabists in defense of the suicidal murderers to the effect that  the Yemeni, Pakistani, Iraqi, and Afghan  victims are “not true Muslims,” could hardly satisfy a strict follower of the main tenets of Islam.  If such a follower is silent, it means that he is frightened by the murderous mayhem running supreme across most of the Muslim world.            </p>
<p>What however, leaves a particularly bad mark on the CAP report is the fact that deliberately or not, it demonstrates a complete blindness to the danger emanating from radical Islam. By ignoring this danger, the authors of the report are facing the serious probability that one day their strategy and performance will be evaluated as a treasonous act.</p>
<p>The reason for the emergence of such an opinion expresses itself in their systemic failure to understand the dynamics of the Islamization of Europe and the Islamo-totalitarian long-term challenge to the American policymakers.</p>
<p>What the CAP experts evidently don’t realize is the fact that their attitudes are far from unique. There are two equally correct definitions involving the role of the collaborators with evil, although given by two men symbolizing the opposite sides of the political spectrum.  It was the creator of the first totalitarian state in human history, Vladimir Lenin, who called the wealthy and capitalistic sympathizers of communism &#8211; “useful idiots.”</p>
<p>A decade later, in the eyes of Sir Winston Churchill, the actions of the pacifiers of Adolph Hitler were similar to the actions of somebody who is feeding a crocodile with the hope that he will be the last one to be eaten. Had he been alive today the great British statesman would have seen the same logic and the same pattern in the actions of the pacifiers of the Islamo- totalitarian crocodile.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.americanprogress.org/issues/2011/08/Islamophobia.html">http://www.americanprogress.org/issues/2011/08/Islamophobia.html</a></p>
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		<title>Dark Side E Book</title>
		<link>http://foraff.wordpress.com/2011/07/14/dark-side-e-book/</link>
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		<pubDate>Thu, 14 Jul 2011 20:10:50 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description><![CDATA[The Dark Side of the Crescent Moon is available as an e-book thru Amazon.com with dollar credit card or Amazon.de with Euro Credit Card.<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=foraff.wordpress.com&amp;blog=8303388&amp;post=329&amp;subd=foraff&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The Dark Side of the Crescent Moon is available as</p>
<p>an e-book thru Amazon.com with dollar credit card or</p>
<p>Amazon.de with Euro Credit Card.</p>
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		<title>Dark Side now in E-Book</title>
		<link>http://foraff.wordpress.com/2011/06/23/dark-side-now-in-e-book/</link>
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		<pubDate>Thu, 23 Jun 2011 19:56:24 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description><![CDATA[Pat English The Dark Side of the Crescent Moon has just been released in E-Book format and is available thru Amazon in England, Germany, Russia and France for the equivalent of $7.99.<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=foraff.wordpress.com&amp;blog=8303388&amp;post=323&amp;subd=foraff&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Pat English</p>
<p>The Dark Side of the Crescent Moon has just been</p>
<p>released in E-Book format and is available thru Amazon</p>
<p>in England, Germany, Russia and France for the</p>
<p>equivalent of $7.99.</p>
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		<title>&#8220;THE DARK SIDE OF THE CRESCENT MOON&#8221;</title>
		<link>http://foraff.wordpress.com/2011/04/30/the-dark-side-of-the-crescent-moon/</link>
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		<pubDate>Sat, 30 Apr 2011 09:02:22 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description><![CDATA[Georgy Gounev &#8211; April 30, 2011 The Islamization of Europe is not just of matter of demography but also a well-planned, masterfully executed Jihadist strategy.  The United States and Russia are likewise on the Islamist agenda which demonstrates the crucial need for all nations to understand and address the grave implications of radical Islam.  For [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=foraff.wordpress.com&amp;blog=8303388&amp;post=308&amp;subd=foraff&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>Georgy Gounev &#8211; April 30, 2011</strong></p>
<p>The Islamization of Europe is not just of matter of demography but also a well-planned, masterfully executed Jihadist strategy.  The United States and Russia are likewise on the Islamist agenda which demonstrates the crucial need for all nations to understand and address the grave implications of radical Islam.  For anyone seeking a firm grasp of this critically important subject “The Dark Side of the Crescent Moon” covers topics such as: </p>
<ul>
<li>The people, countries and global movements that factor into Islam’s growth.</li>
<li>A comprehensive and incisive analysis of the current international dynamics.</li>
<li>Historical antecedents.</li>
<li>Modern-day geopolitics.</li>
<li>The past, present and future role of the United States and Russia.</li>
</ul>
<p><strong><em>“The Dark Side of the Crescent Moon”</em></strong>has just been released as a paperback on May 6, 2011 by Amazon and is available by going to Amazon Books and then search for &#8220;The Dark Side of the Crescent Moon,&#8221; or just click on the link below.   </p>
<div>
<div><a href="http://www.amazon.com/Dark-Side-Crescent-Moon/dp/0615442579/ref=sr_1_1?s=books&amp;ie=UTF8&amp;qid=1305059657&amp;sr=1-1">The Dark Side of the Crescent Moon</a></div>
</div>
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		<title>Geert Wilders:  Speech in Rome</title>
		<link>http://foraff.wordpress.com/2011/03/29/geert-wilders-speech-in-rome/</link>
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		<pubDate>Tue, 29 Mar 2011 17:25:41 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description><![CDATA[Reprinted from  http://www.americanthinker.com/- March 26, 2011 Andrew Bostom:  Dutch Parliamentarian Geert Wilders made a seminal address yesterday evening (March 25, 2011) at the Annual Lecture of the Magna Carta Foundation in Rome, Italy. As is his wont, Wilders presentation moved far beyond the timorous platitudes about the most obvious (and dangerous) failures of cultural relativism belatedly [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=foraff.wordpress.com&amp;blog=8303388&amp;post=303&amp;subd=foraff&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">Reprinted from  <a href="http://www.americanthinker.com/">http://www.americanthinker.com/</a>- March 26, 2011</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">Andrew Bostom:  </span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">Dutch Parliamentarian Geert Wilders made a seminal address yesterday evening (March 25, 2011) at the Annual Lecture of the Magna Carta Foundation in Rome, Italy.</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">As is his wont, Wilders presentation moved far beyond the timorous platitudes about the most obvious (and dangerous) failures of cultural relativism belatedly echoed by Western European leaders Angela Merkel, Nicholas Sarkozy, and David Cameron. Wilders demands that the West acknowledge the jihad-both cultural and military-being waged against it openly and incessantly by institutional Islam, Muslim nations, and the global umma. The Ducth Parlaimentarian concludes his eloquent and informative speech by insisting that four concrete measures must be taken immediately, quoting Ronald Reagan, so we can &#8220;&#8230;act today to preserve tomorrow.&#8221; </span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">(1) Defend freedom of speech</span></li>
<li><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;"><span style="font-size:small;"><strong>(2) </strong>End cultural relativism and re-assert our belief in the superiority of Western culture compared to Islamic culture</span></span></li>
<li><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;"><span style="font-size:small;"><strong>(3) </strong>Stop the Islamization of the West because, &#8220;more Islam means less freedom.&#8221;</span></span></li>
<li><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;"><span style="font-size:small;"><strong>(4) </strong>Restore the supremacy and sovereignty of the nation-state</span></span></li>
</ul>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">Wilder&#8217;s speech in its entirety, is reproduced below:</span></div>
<blockquote>
<div><strong><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">&#8220;The Failure of Multiculturalism and How to Turn the Tide&#8221;</span></strong></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;"><span style="font-size:small;"><em>Signore e signori</em>, ladies and gentlemen, dear friends of the Magna Carta Foundation, <em>molte grazie.</em> Thank you for inviting me to Rome. It is great to be here in this beautiful city which for many centuries was the capital and the centre of Europe&#8217;s Judeo-Christian culture.</span></span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">Together with Jerusalem and Athens, Rome is the cradle of our Western civilization &#8211; the most advanced and superior civilization the world has ever known.</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">As Westerners, we share the same Judeo-Christian culture. I am from the Netherlands and you are from Italy. Our national cultures are branches of the same tree. We do not belong to multiple cultures, but to different branches of one single culture. This is why when we come to Rome, we all come home in a sense. We belong here, as we also belong in Athens and in Jerusalem.</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">It is important that we know where our roots are. If we lose them we become deracinated. We become men and women without a culture.</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">I am here today to talk about multiculturalism. This term has a number of different meanings. I use the term to refer to a specific political ideology. It advocates that all cultures are equal. If they are equal it follows that the state is not allowed to promote any specific cultural values as central and dominant. In other words: multiculturalism holds that the state should not promote a <em>leitkultur</em>, which immigrants have to accept if they want to live in our midst.</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">It is this ideology of cultural relativism which the German Chancellor Angela Merkel recently referred to when she said that multiculturalism has proved &#8220;an absolute failure.&#8221;</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">My friends, I dare say that we have known this all along. Indeed, the premise of the multiculturalist ideology is wrong. Cultures are not equal. They are different, because their roots are different. That is why the multiculturalists try to destroy our roots.</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">Rome is a very appropriate place to address these issues. There is an old saying which people of our Western culture are all familiar with. &#8220;When in Rome, do as the Romans do,&#8221; it says. This is an obvious truth: If you move somewhere, you must adapt to the laws and customs of the land.</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">The multicultural society has undermined this rule of common sense and decency. The multicultural society tells the newcomers who settle in our cities and villages: You are free to behave contrary to our norms and values. Because your norms and values are just as good, perhaps even better, than ours.</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">It is, indeed, appropriate to discuss these matters here in Rome, because the history of Rome also serves as a warning.</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">Will Durant, the famous 20<sup>th</sup> century American historian, wrote that &#8220;A great civilization cannot be destroyed from outside if it has not already destroyed itself from within.&#8221; This is exactly what happened here, in Rome, 16 centuries ago.</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">In the 5<sup>th</sup> century, the Roman Empire fell to the Germanic Barbarians. There is no doubt that the Roman civilization was far superior to that of the Barbarians. And yet, Rome fell. Rome fell because it had suffered a loss of belief in its own civilization. It had lost the will to stand up and fight for survival.</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">Rome did not fall overnight. Rome fell gradually. The Romans scarcely noticed what was happening. They did not perceive the immigration of the Barbarians as a threat until it was too late. For decades, Germanic Barbarians, attracted by the prosperity of the Empire, had been crossing the border.</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">At first, the attraction of the Empire on newcomers could be seen as a sign of the cultural, political and economic superiority of Rome. People came to find a better life which their own culture could not provide. But then, on December 31<sup>st</sup> in the year 406, the Rhine froze and tens of thousands of Germanic Barbarians, crossed the river, flooded the Empire and went on a rampage, destroying every city they passed. In 410, Rome was sacked.</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">The fall of Rome was a traumatic experience. Numerous books have been written about the cataclysmal event and Europeans were warned not to make the same mistake again. In 1899, in his book ‘The River War,&#8217; Winston Churchill warned that Islam is threatening Europe in the same way as the Barbarians once threatened Rome. &#8220;Mohammedanism,&#8221; Churchill wrote &#8211; I quote &#8211; &#8220;is a militant and proselytizing faith. No stronger retrograde force exists in the World. [...] The civilization of modern Europe might fall, as fell the civilization of ancient Rome.&#8221; End of quote.</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">Churchill is right. However, if Europe falls, it will fall because, like ancient Rome, it no longer believes in the superiority of its own civilization. It will fall because it foolishly believes that all cultures are equal and that, consequently, there is no reason why we should fight for our own culture in order to preserve it.</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">This failure to defend our own culture has turned immigration into the most dangerous threat that can be used against the West. Multiculturalism has made us so tolerant that we tolerate the intolerant.</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">Ladies and gentlemen, make no mistake: Our opponents are keenly aware of our weakness. They realize that the pattern which led to the fall of Rome, is at play today in the West. They are keenly aware of the importance of Rome as a symbol of the West. Over and over again they hint at the fall of Rome. Rome is constantly on their minds.</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">The former Turkish Prime Minister Erbakan said &#8211; I quote: &#8220;The whole of Europe will become Islamic. We will conquer Rome&#8221;.</span></li>
<li><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">Yunis al-Astal, a Hamas cleric and member of the Palestinian Parliament said &#8211; I quote: &#8220;Very soon Rome will be conquered.&#8221;</span></li>
<li><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">Ali Al-Faqir, the former Jordanian Minister of Religion,  stated that &#8211; I quote: &#8220;Islam will conquer Rome.&#8221;</span></li>
<li><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">Sheikh Muhammad al-Arifi, imam of the mosque of the Saudi Defence Academy, said &#8211; I quote: &#8220;We will control Rome and introduce Islam in it.&#8221;</span></li>
</ul>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">Our opponents are hoping for an event that is akin to the freezing of the Rhine in 406, when thousands of immigrants will be given an easy opportunity to cross massively into the West.</span></div>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">In a 1974 speech to the UN, the Algerian President Houari Boumédienne, said &#8211; I quote: &#8220;One day, millions of men will leave the Southern Hemisphere to go to the Northern Hemisphere. And they will not go there as friends. Because they will go there to conquer it. And they will conquer it with their sons. The wombs of our women will give us victory.&#8221; End of quote.</span></li>
<li><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">Libyan dictator Kadhafi said, I quote: &#8220;There are tens of millions of Muslims in the European continent todayand their number is on the increase. This is the clear indication that the European continent will be converted into Islam. Europe will one day soon be a Muslim continent.&#8221; End of quote.</span></li>
</ul>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">Our opponents are aiming for a repetition of the fall of Rome in the 5<sup>th</sup> century and want to use exactly the same methods. &#8220;The strategy of exporting human beings and having them breed in abundance is the simplest way to take possession of a territory,&#8221; warned the famous Italian author Oriana Fallaci.</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">However, the situation today could be worse than it was when the Roman Empire fell. The Germanic Barbarians who overran Rome were not driven by an ideology. After having sacked Rome, they eventually adopted the Judeo-Christian civilization of Rome. They destroyed Rome because they wanted its riches, but they realized and recognized that Roman civilization was superior to their own Barbaric culture.</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">Having destroyed Rome, the Germanic tribes eventually tried to rebuild it. In 800, the Frankish leader Charlemagne had himself crowned Roman Emperor. Three hundred years later, the Franks and the other Europeans  would go on the Crusades in defence of their Christian culture. The Crusades were as Oriana Fallaci wrote &#8211; I quote &#8211; a &#8220;counter-offensive designed to stem Islamic expansionism in Europe.&#8221; Rome had fallen, but like a phoenix it had risen again.</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">Contrary to the Barbarians which confronted Rome, the followers of Muhammad are driven by an ideology which they want to impose on us.</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">Islam is a totalitarian ideology. Islamic Shariah law supervises every detail of life. Islam is not compatible with our Western way of life. Islam is a threat to our values. Respect for people who think otherwise, the equality of men and women, the equality of homosexuals and heterosexuals, respect for Christians, Jews, unbelievers and apostates, the separation of church and state, freedom of speech, they are all under pressure because of islamization.</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">Europe is islamizing at a rapid pace. Many European cities have large islamic concentrations. In some neighbourhoods, Islamic regulations are already being enforced. Women&#8217;s rights are being trampled. We are confronted with headscarves and burqa&#8217;s, polygamy, female genital mutilation, honour-killings. &#8220;In each one of our cities&#8221; says Oriana Fallaci, &#8220;there is a second city, a state within the state, a government within the government. A Muslim city, a city ruled by the Koran.&#8221; &#8211; End of quote.</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">Ladies and gentlemen, make no mistake: The multiculturalist Left is facilitating islamization. Leftist multiculturalists are cheering for every new shariah bank, for every new islamic school, for every new mosque. Multiculturalists consider Islam as being equal to our own culture. Shariah law or democracy? Islam or freedom? It doesn&#8217;t really matter to them. But it does matter to us. The entire leftist elite is guilty of practising cultural relativism. Universities, churches, trade unions, the media, politicians. They are all betraying our hard-won liberties. </span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">Ladies and gentlemen, what is happening in Europe today has to some extent been deliberately planned</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">In October 2009, Andrew Neather, the former advisor of British Prime Minister Tony Blair, confirmed that the British Government had deliberately organized mass immigration as part of a social engineering project. The Blair Government wanted to &#8211; I quote &#8211; &#8220;make the UK truly multicultural.&#8221; To achieve this end, 2.3 million foreigners were allowed to enter Britain between 2000 and 2009. Neather says this policy has &#8220;enriched&#8221; Britain.</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">Ordinary people, however, do not consider the decline of societal cohesion, the rise of crime, the transformation of their old neighborhoods into no-go zones, to be an &#8220;enrichment.&#8221;</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">Ordinary people are well aware that they are witnessing a population replacement phenomenon. Ordinary people feel attached to the civilization which their ancestors created. They do not want it to be replaced by a multicultural society where the values of the immigrants are considered as good as their own. It is not xenophobia or islamophobia to consider our Western culture as superior to other cultures &#8211; it is plain common sense.</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">Fortunately, we are still living in a democracy. The opinion of ordinary people still matters. I am the leader of the Dutch Party of Freedom which aims to halt the Islamization process and defend the traditional values and liberties in the Netherlands. The Party of Freedom is the fastest growing party in the Netherlands.</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">Because the message of my party is so important, I support initiatives to establish similar parties in other countries, such as Germany, France and the United Kingdom, where they do not yet exist. Last month, a poll in Britain showed that a staggering 48 percent of the British would consider supporting a non-fascist and non-violent party that vows to crack down on immigration and Islamic extremists and restrict the building of mosques. In October last year, I was in Berlin where I gave a keynote speech at a meeting of <em>Die Freiheit</em>, a newly established party led by René Stadtkewitz, a former Christian-Democrat. German polls indicate that such a party has a potential of 20 percent of the electorate.</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">My speech, in which I urged the Germans to stop feeling ashamed about their German identity drew a lot of media attention. Two weeks later, German Chancellor Angela Merkel stated that multiculturalism is &#8220;an absolute failure.&#8221; Horst Seehofer, the leader of the Bavarian Christian-Democrats, was even more outspoken. &#8220;Multiculturalism is dead,&#8221; he said.</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">Last month, French President Nicolas Sarkozy said: &#8220;We have been too concerned about the identity of the immigrant and not enough about the identity of the country that was receiving him.&#8221; &#8211; End of quote.</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">Five weeks ago, British Prime Minister David Cameron blamed multiculturalism for Islamic extremism. &#8220;We have allowed the weakening of our collective identity,&#8221; he said. &#8220;Under the doctrine of state multiculturalism, we have encouraged different cultures to live [...] apart from the mainstream.&#8221; &#8211; End of quote.</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">In his speech, David Cameron still makes a distinction between the Islamist ideology, which he calls extremist and dangerous, and Islam, which he says is peaceful religion. I do not share this view, and neither did Cameron&#8217;s great predecessor Winston Churchill. Stating that Islam is peaceful is a multiculturalist dogma which is contrary to the truth.</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">Politicians such as Merkel. Sarkozy and Cameron still do not seem to have understood what the problem really is. Nevertheless, the fact that they feel compelled to distance themselves from multiculturalism is a clear indication that they realize they need to pay lip-service to what the majority of their populations have long understood. Namely that the massive influx of immigrants from Islamic countries is the most negative development that Europe has known in the past 50 years.</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">Yesterday, a prestigious poll in the Netherlands revealed that 50 percent of the Dutch are of the opinion that Islam and democracy are not compatible, while 42 percent think they are. Even two thirds of the voters of the Liberal Party and of the Christian-Democrat Party are convinced that Islam and democracy are not compatible.</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">This, then, is the political legacy of multiculturalism. While the parties of the Left have found themselves a new electorate, the establishment parties of the Right still harbour their belief that Islam is a religion of peace on a par with peaceful religions such as Christianity, Judaism, Buddhism and others.</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">The problem with multiculturalism is a refusal to see reality. The reality that our civilization is superior, and the reality that Islam is a dangerous ideology.</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">Today, we are confronted with political unrest in the Arab countries. Autocratic regimes, such as that of Ben Ali in Tunisia, Mubarak in Egypt, Kadhafi in Libya, the Khalifa dynasty in Bahrain, and others, have been toppled or are under attack. The Arab peoples long for freedom. This is only natural. However, the ideology and culture of Islam is so deeply entrenched in these countries that real freedom is simply impossible. As long as Islam remains dominant there can be no real freedom.</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">Let us face reality. On March 8, the International Women&#8217;s Day, 300 women demonstrated on Cairo&#8217;s Tahrir Square in post-Mubarak Egypt. Within minutes, the women were charged by a group of bearded men, who beat them up and dragged them away. Some were even sexually assaulted. The police did not interfere. This is the new Egypt: On Monday, people demonstrate for freedom; on Tuesday, the same people beat up women because they, too, demand freedom.</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">I fear that in Islamic countries, democracy will not lead to real freedom. A survey by the American Pew Center found that 59 percent of Egyptians prefer democracy to any other form of government. However, 85 percent say that Islam&#8217;s influence on politics is good, 82 percent believe that adulterers should be stoned, 84 percent want the death penalty for apostates, and 77 percent say that thieves should be flogged or have their hands cut off.</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">Ronald Reagan was right when he called Kadhafi a &#8220;mad dog.&#8221; However, we should not harbor the illusion that there can be real freedom and real democracy in a country where Islam is dominant. There is no doubt that the results of the Pew survey in Egypt apply in Libya, too. It is not in our interest to bring the Muslim Brotherhood to power in Tripoli and install a khalifate in Libya.</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">Of course, the world has to stop Kadhafi from killing his own people. However, as UN Resolution 1973 stated last week, this is primarily the responsibility of &#8211; I quote &#8211; &#8220;in particular [the] States of the region.&#8221; End of quote. Why does a country like the Netherlands have to contribute six F16 fighter jets to enforce the arms embargo in Libya, while Saudi Arabia does not contribute a single plane from its fleet of nearly 300 fighter jets? Arabs are dying, but the Arab countries are shirking their responsibilities.</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">And one of the major threats of the current crisis is not even addressed by our leaders: How are we going to prevent that thousands of economic fugitives and fortune seekers cross the Mediterranean and arrive at place like Lampedusa? Now that Tunisia is liberated, young Tunisians should help to rebuild their country instead of leaving for Lampedusa. Europe cannot afford another influx of thousands of refugees.</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">Ladies and gentlemen,</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">It is time to wake up. We need to confront reality and we need to speak the truth. The truth is that Islam is evil, and the reality is that Islam is a threat to us.</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">Before I continue I want to make clear, however, that I do not have a problem with Muslims as such. There are many moderate Muslims. That is why I always make a clear distinction between the people and the ideology, between Muslims and Islam. There are many moderate Muslims, but there is no such thing as a moderate Islam. </span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">Islam strives for world domination. The koran commands Muslims to exercise jihad and impose shariah law.</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">Telling the truth about immigration and warning that Islam might not be as benevolent as the ruling elite says, has been made a hate speech crime in several EU member states. As you probably know, I have been brought to court on charges of hate speech. That is the paradox of the multicultural society. It claims to be pluralistic, but allows only one point of view of world affairs, namely that all cultures are equal and that they are all good. </span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">The fact that we are treated as criminals for telling the truth must not, however, deter us. The truth that Islam is evil has always been obvious to our ancestors. That is why they fought. It was very clear to them that our civilization was far superior to Islam.</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">It is not difficult to understand why our culture is far better than Islam. We Europeans, whether we be Christians, Jews, agnostics or atheists, believe in reason. We have always known that nothing good could be expected from Islam.</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">While our culture is rooted in Jerusalem, Athens and Rome, Islam&#8217;s roots are the desert and the brain of Muhammad. Our ancestors understood the consequences very well. The Koran, wrote the historian Theophanes, who lived in the second half of the 8<sup>th</sup> century, is based on hallucinations.</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">&#8220;Show me just what Muhammad brought that was new and there you will find things only evil and inhuman,&#8221; the Byzantine Emperor Manuel II said in 1391, adding: &#8220;God is not pleased by blood &#8211; and not acting reasonable is contrary to God&#8217;s nature.&#8221;</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">For 1,400 years, Westerners have been criticizing Islam and its founder because they recognized evil when they saw it. But then, suddenly, in the last decades of the past century, especially from the 1970s onwards, Western intellectuals stopped doing so.</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">The moral and cultural relativism of Marxism led the West&#8217;s political and intellectual elites to adopt a utopian belief in a universal brotherhood of mankind. </span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">Multiculturalism is a culture of repudiation of Europe&#8217;s heritage and freedoms. It weakens the West day by day. It leads to the self-censorship of the media and academia, the collapse of the education system, the emasculation of the churches, the subversion of the nation-state, the break-down of our free society.</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">While today &#8211; at last &#8211; our leaders seem to realize what a disastrous failure multiculturalism has been, multiculturalism is not dead yet. More is needed to defeat multiculturalism than the simple proclamations that it has been an &#8220;absolute failure.&#8221; What is needed is that we turn the tide of Islamization.</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">There are a few things which we can do in this regard.</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">One thing which we should do is to oppose the introduction of Sharia or Islamic law in our countries. In about a dozen states in the United States, legislation is currently being introduced to prevent the introduction of Sharia. In early May, I will be travelling to the U.S. to express my support to these initiatives. We should consider similar measures in Europe.</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">Another thing which we should do is support Muslims who want to leave Islam. An International Women&#8217;s Day is useless in the Arab world if there is no International Leave Islam Day. I propose the introduction of such a day in which we can honor the courageous men and women who want to leave Islam. Perhaps we can pick a symbolic date for such a day and establish an annual prize for an individual who has turned his back on Islam or an organization which helps people to liberate themselves from Islam. It is very easy to become a Muslim. All one has to do is to pronounce the Shahada, the Islamic creed, which says &#8211; I quote &#8220;There is no god but Allah, and Muhammad is the messenger of Allah.&#8221; It should be equally easy to leave Islam by pronouncing a counter-Shahada, which says &#8220;I leave Islam and join humankind.&#8221;</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">A third measure to turn the tide of Islamization is to reemphasize the sovereignty of the nation-state. The peoples of the free world will only be able to fight back against Islam if they can rally around a flag with which they can identify. This flag, symbolizing pre-political loyalty, can only be the flag of our nation. In the West, our freedoms are embodied in our nation-states. This is why the multiculturalists are hostile to the nation-state and aim to destroy it.</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">National identity is an inclusive identity: It welcomes everyone, whatever his religion or race, who is willing to assimilate into a nation by sharing the fate and future of a people. It ties the individual to an inheritance, a tradition, a loyalty, and a culture.</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">I want to elaborate a bit on this since we are gathered here today in Rome. Again, it is appropriate that we are in Rome. In this city, in 1957, and &#8211; what an ironic coincidence &#8211; on this very day, the 25<sup>th</sup> of March, the Treaty of Rome was signed. This Treaty obliges the member states of the European Union to aim for &#8220;an ever closer union.&#8221;</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">Unfortunately, this union, like other multinational organizations, has become one of the vehicles for the promotion of multiculturalism. The EU has fallen in the hands of a multiculturalist elite who by undermining national sovereignty destroy the capacity of the peoples of Europe to democratically decide their own future.</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">The new government in my country, which is supported by my party, wants to restrict immigration. That is what our voters want. But we are confronted by the fact that our policies have to a large extent been outsourced to &#8220;Europe&#8221; and that our voters no longer have a direct say over their own future.</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">On account of international treaties, EU legislation prevails over national legislation and cannot be reversed by national parliaments. Indeed, in 2008, the European Court of Justice, the highest court in the EU, annulled both Irish and Danish immigration legislation. The Court stated that national law is subordinate to whatever is ruled on the European level. In March 2010, the European Court of Justice annulled Dutch legislation restricting family reunification for immigrants on welfare.</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">The ease with which Europe&#8217;s political elite conducts an immigration policy aimed at the deracination of Europe shows the insensitivity of this elite. It willingly sacrifices its own people to its political goal, without any consideration for the people involved.</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">Lower class blue-collar people have been driven from their neighborhoods. There is no respect for their democratic vote. On the contrary, people who do not agree with the multiculturalist schemes are considered to be racists and xenophobes, while the undefined offence of &#8220;racism and xenophobia&#8221; has been made central to all moral pronouncements by the European Union, the Council of Europe, the United Nations, and other supra-national organizations. This represents a systematic assault by the elite on the ordinary feelings of national loyalty.</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">In 2008, the Parliamentary Assembly of the Council of Europe stated that the member-states must &#8211; I quote &#8211; &#8220;condemn and combat Islamophobia&#8221; and ensure &#8220;that school textbooks do not portray Islam as a hostile or threatening religion.&#8221; &#8211; end of quote.</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">In March 2010, the United Nations Human Rights Council passed a resolution criminalizing so-called &#8220;defamation of religions.&#8221; The resolution, authored by Pakistan, mentions only one religion by name: Islam. With its 57 member states the Organization of the Islamic Conference systematically uses its voting power in the UN to subvert the concept of freedom and human rights. In 1990, the OIC rejected the 1948 Universal Declaration of Human Rights and replaced it by the <em>Cairo Declaration on Human Rights in Islam</em>, which states in articles 24 that &#8211; I quote &#8211; &#8220;All the rights and freedoms stipulated in this Declaration are subject to the Islamic Sharia.&#8221; &#8211; end of quote.</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">This &#8220;human rights&#8221; charade has to stop if Western civilization wants to survive. Human rights exist for the protection of individuals, not religions and ideologies.</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">The EU&#8217;s aim, meanwhile, seems to be to destroy the old sovereign nations and replace them by new provincial identities, which are all clones of each other. Britanistan will not differ from Netherlandistan, nor Germanistan from Italiastan, or any other province of the European superstate in the making.</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">We must reclaim Europe. We can only do so by giving political power back to the nation-state. By defending the nation-states which we love, we defend our own identity. By defending our identity, we defend who we are and what we are against those who want to deracinate us. Against those who want to cut us from our roots, so that our culture withers away and dies.</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">My friends,</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">Twenty years after the ordinary people, Europe&#8217;s mainstream conservative leaders, such as Merkel, Sarkozy and Cameron, have finally &#8211; better late than never &#8211; come to the obvious conclusion, namely that multiculturalism is a failure. However, they do not have a plan to remedy the situation.</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">Ladies and gentlemen, it is time for change. We must make haste. Time is running out. Ronald Reagan said: &#8220;We need to act today, to preserve tomorrow&#8221;. That is why I propose the following measures in order to preserve our freedom:</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">First, we will have to defend freedom of speech. It is the most important of our liberties. If we are free to speak, we will be able to tell people the truth and they will realize what is at stake.</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">Second, we will have to end cultural relativism. To the multiculturalists, we must proudly proclaim: Our Western culture is far superior to the Islamic culture. Only when we are convinced of that, we will be willing to fight for our own identity.</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">Third, we will have to stop Islamization. Because more Islam means less freedom. We must stop immigration from Islamic countries, we must expel criminal immigrants, we must forbid the construction of new mosques. There is enough Islam in Europe already. Immigrants must assimilate and adapt to our values: When in Rome, do as the Romans do.</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">Fourth, we must restore the supremacy and sovereignty of the nation-state. Because we are citizens of these states, we can take pride in them. We love our nation because they are our home, because they are the legacy which our fathers bestowed on us and which we want to bestow on our children. We are not multiculturalists, we are patriots. And because we are patriots, we are willing to fight for freedom.</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">Let me end with a final &#8211; and a positive &#8211; remark: Though the situation is bad and multiculturalism is still predominant, we are in better shape than the Roman Empire was before its fall.</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">The Roman Empire was not a democracy. The Romans did not have freedom of speech. We are the free men of the West. We do not fight for an Empire, we fight for ourselves. We fight for our national republics. You fight for Italy, I fight for the Netherlands, others fight for France, Germany, Britain, Denmark or Spain. Together we stand. Together we represent the nations of Europe.</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">I am confident that if we can safeguard freedom of speech and democracy, our civilization will be able to survive. Europe will not fall. We, Europe&#8217;s patriots, will not allow it.</span></div>
<div><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">Thank you very much.<strong><span style="text-decoration:underline;">Parliamentarian</span></strong></span></div>
</blockquote>
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		<title>The Russian Dilemma</title>
		<link>http://foraff.wordpress.com/2011/03/24/the-russian-dilemma/</link>
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		<pubDate>Thu, 24 Mar 2011 08:35:03 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description><![CDATA[Georgy Gounev &#8211; In the totalitarian Soviet Union, the older generations grudgingly respected America, and most of the youth secretly admired her.  But in present-day post-communist Russia, the United States is hated by the majority of the population.  In fact, polls today reveal that it is the Russian youth who are particularly hostile to America.  [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=foraff.wordpress.com&amp;blog=8303388&amp;post=297&amp;subd=foraff&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div>
<div style="text-align:justify;"><strong><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">Georgy Gounev &#8211; </span></strong><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">In the totalitarian Soviet Union, the older generations grudgingly respected America, and most of the youth secretly admired her.  But in present-day post-communist Russia, the United States is hated by the majority of the population.  In fact, polls today reveal that it is the Russian youth who are particularly hostile to America.  Somehow, Russia&#8217;s anti-Americanism is far worse now than it was during the Cold War.</span></div>
<div style="text-align:justify;"><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">So why is Russia enveloped in such a powerful blanket of mistrust and hatred for the United States? </span></div>
<div style="text-align:justify;"><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">In many ways, the roots of current Russian negativity toward the United States go back to the earliest days of post-communist Russia and her president, Boris Yeltsin.  The main components of Yeltsin&#8217;s foreign policy were introduced to the world in a speech delivered to a joint session of Congress during his visit to the U.S. in 1992.  The speech itself contained an expression of Yeltsin&#8217;s admiration for the American political system, the main ingredients of which he wanted to see implanted in the organization of new Russia.  Very importantly, President Yeltsin shared his dream about the establishment of an alliance between his country and the United States.</span></div>
<div style="text-align:justify;"><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">The American reaction to this momentous statement wasn&#8217;t encouraging.  The sudden collapse of communism required American action of the same magnitude as the Marshall Plan, but President George H.W. Bush allowed for no such thing.  The consequences were fatal for the prestige and intentions of President Yeltsin &#8212; as far as Mr. Yeltsin was concerned, he was forced to end his mandate prematurely after causing the bitterest possible disappointment in his politics amongst the Russian people.  Thus, the United States lost the potential for a reliable, long-term Russian partner.</span></div>
<div style="text-align:justify;"><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">In the beginning of his presidency, Vladimir Putin, who in many ways turned out to be the kind of statesman Russia needed at that time, was ready to collaborate with the United States against the dark forces of radical Islam.  Later, however, President Putin&#8217;s attitude toward the United States hardened to the point of transforming anti- Americanism into the cornerstone of Russian foreign policy.</span></div>
<div style="text-align:justify;"><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">Maybe Putin&#8217;s KGB background forced him to see the imprint of Washington on the scene of every development he happened to dislike.  Case in point: for Putin, the desire of many Eastern Europeans to join a unified and democratic Europe was nothing more than an American-inspired plot designed to isolate Russia and deny its &#8220;natural&#8221; rights in the region. </span></div>
<div style="text-align:justify;"><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">Based on similar distorted images, Russian foreign policy took the form of a series of moves designed to counter any American action around the globe.  Father Iakov Krotov, an outstanding Russian religious and political writer, had his point well-taken when he compared the present Russian policy toward the United States to the game of a mediocre chess player who can&#8217;t do anything more than repeat the moves of his adversary.  Moscow&#8217;s role in instigating opposition to Georgian separatism as a reaction to American support for Kosovar independence is a prime example.  </span></div>
<div style="text-align:justify;"><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">What the high-level chess players in Moscow are missing are the actions of a much more dangerous adversary.  Supported by the activities of the ubiquitous Wahhabist &#8220;foundations,&#8221; Islamic militants have managed to establish their stronghold on Russian soil.  A long time ago, the nationalist conflict in Chechnya and Dagestan was transformed into a jihadist assault on the very essence of Russian statehood, tradition, and culture.  From the carnage that took away the lives of hundreds of children between the walls of a school in Beslan all the way to the recent bloodshed at one of the busiest airports in Moscow, the militant Islamists have left their imprint on the face and soul of Russia &#8212; not to mention a grim forecast for Russia if they are victorious.</span></div>
<div style="text-align:justify;"><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">Of course, the jihadists are pursuing the same aim with regard to the United States.  This fact provides a strong enough incentive to the policymakers of both the U.S. and Russia to break the vicious cycle of old-fashioned stereotypes, mistrust, and hostility and face the communality of their interests (so obvious in Afghanistan, for instance).  </span></div>
<div style="text-align:justify;"><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;font-size:small;">Russia, for her part, needs to recognize the danger of militant Islam and join forces with everyone ready to resist it.  The problem is that the window to act on this conclusion is fast closing.</span></div>
<div style="text-align:justify;"><span style="font-family:times new roman,times;"><span style="font-size:small;"><strong><em>Georgy Gounev is a historian and political scientist who teaches Middle East history and international relations at three colleges in Southern California.  Gounev is the author of </em></strong><strong>The Dark Side of the Crescent Moon<em>, to be published spring 2011.</em></strong></span></span></div>
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<p style="text-align:justify;"><!-- stopprint --></p>
<div style="text-align:justify;"><a href="http://comments.americanthinker.com/read/42323/786835.html">19 Comments</a> on &#8220;<em><strong>The Russian Dilemma</strong></em></div>
<div style="text-align:justify;"><em><strong>First Published by The American Thinker &#8211; March 16, 2011</strong></em></div>
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		<title>Amazon Free Kindle for PC&#8217;s Download Link</title>
		<link>http://foraff.wordpress.com/2011/02/24/amazon-free-kindle-for-pcs-download-link/</link>
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		<pubDate>Fri, 25 Feb 2011 01:01:13 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description><![CDATA[Pat English Dear Friends: With this link you can download a free kindle onto your computer.  This is really helpful if you want to buy an E-Book but you are located in Europe or Russia and can not get a hard copy book.  http://www.amazon.com/gp/feature.html/ref=pe_70030_14572800_fe_img_1/?ie=UTF8&#38;docId=1000426311<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=foraff.wordpress.com&amp;blog=8303388&amp;post=295&amp;subd=foraff&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Pat English</p>
<p>Dear Friends:</p>
<p>With this link you can download a free kindle onto your computer.  This is really helpful if you want to buy an E-Book but you are located in Europe or Russia and can not get a hard copy book. </p>
<p><a href="http://www.amazon.com/gp/feature.html/ref=pe_70030_14572800_fe_img_1/?ie=UTF8&amp;docId=1000426311">http://www.amazon.com/gp/feature.html/ref=pe_70030_14572800_fe_img_1/?ie=UTF8&amp;docId=1000426311</a></p>
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		<title>THE EGYPTIAN CHALLENGE TO U.S. FOREIGN POLICY</title>
		<link>http://foraff.wordpress.com/2011/02/24/the-egyptian-challenge-to-u-s-foreign-policy/</link>
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		<pubDate>Thu, 24 Feb 2011 07:20:57 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description><![CDATA[Georgy Gounev It could be successfully argued that the current period of temporary military rule in Egypt is the right time to explore the options for an effective American strategy with regard to that country.  Ideally, it would be much better if the long lasting branch of authoritarian secularism, existing in Egypt since the times [...]<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=foraff.wordpress.com&amp;blog=8303388&amp;post=291&amp;subd=foraff&amp;ref=&amp;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>Georgy Gounev</strong></p>
<p>It could be successfully argued that the current period of temporary military rule in Egypt is the right time to explore the options for an effective American strategy with regard to that country.  Ideally, it would be much better if the long lasting branch of authoritarian secularism, existing in Egypt since the times of President Nasser, would be replaced by a system of political democracy.  A very painful question however is:  Are there any chances for the emergence of a democratic system out from the rubble of Hosni Mubarak’s presidency? </p>
<p>An important fact that should be taken into account is that the chances for the establishment of a functioning political democracy in Egypt are slim.  First of all, ever since July of 1952 Egypt has been ruled by a military regime.  What makes the Egyptian situation so specific is that between 1952 and 1970, the army was protecting the secular, socialist, anti-Israeli and anti-American regime of President Nasser.   Between 1971 and 2011 however, with the same amount of devotion, the Egyptian military were protecting the secular, pro-American regimes of Anwar Sadat and Hosni Mubarak.</p>
<p>It was the smashing defeat during the Six Day War of June 1967, and the intense humiliation brought by it, that inflicted a deadly blow on the left-wing branch of Egyptian secularism.  What doesn’t look so clear today is the undisputable fact that the conservative, pro-capitalist brand of Egyptian secularism died in Tahrir Square.</p>
<p>Consequently, the only well-organized political entity of the country that in the eyes of public opinion is not marred either by corruption or by repression is the Muslim Brotherhood. According to a large score of American observers and scholars, the Brotherhood renounced violence and its only goal is to contribute to the creation of a democratic political system.  If this is the case, then the democratic future of Egypt is guaranteed and the American policymakers will have nothing to worry about!   The problem however is that regardless of all declarations, neither the turbulent history of the Brotherhood, nor its current politics, provide any reason for optimism.  What should not be forgotten is that no anti-democratic, discriminatory, or anti-Semitic components of the Brotherhood’s ideology have ever been rejected by the new generation of its members.</p>
<p>The complexity of this situation requires a clear cut American strategy. Its obvious goal should be to extend all possible support to the current military leadership of Egypt in order to create the necessary background for the transition of the Egyptian society to a multiparty secular democracy. There are two important problems however that need clarification.             </p>
<p>The first one is the lack of an Egyptian related strategy on the part of the Obama administration. On the surface it seemed that the main dilemma of the American policymakers was the warm connection between the United States and an old, reliable ally a living symbol of stability in a notoriously unstable world.  However, he happened to be an autocratic dictator rejected by the majority of his own people.</p>
<p>An important symptom that the Obama administration was not ready for the events of Egypt in a clear and effective manner was the confusion among its ranks. The situation became particularly alarming when the reaction of the administration took the shape of a chorus lacking a conductor.  President Obama for instance declared that he was on the side of the “Egyptian people,” and in obvious favor of a quick resignation of President Mubarak.  This preference was hidden behind the concept of satisfying “the voice of the people.”</p>
<p> Meanwhile, a strong contradiction was developed between the statements of the White House and the Department of State that became obvious.  In the view of the Secretary of State, Hillary Clinton, there was room for President Mubarak’s administration to prepare the ground for a much more gradual transformation of the transition process rather than the speed preferred by President Obama.  On top of that it turned out that there was no unanimity on the Egyptian related issues even within the White House in light of the fact that according to Vice President Biden, President Mubarak wasn’t a dictator after all.</p>
<p>The same lack of clarity marked the answer given by the Obama administration to the extremely important question:  What should be (if any) the role of the United States in shaping the presumably democratic future of Egypt?  The President himself assured the world that the fate of Egypt will be decided by the Egyptians. This is an obvious answer, but not a very convincing one. Who on Earth would believe Mr. Obama in his claim that the United States will stay neutral to the developments affecting the most important country of the Arab world?</p>
<p>The sad truth is that President Obama’s team blocked the way for an effective strategy with regard to the Middle East in general and Egypt in particular, by refusing to address the main threat to American interests in the region.  It is an evident truth to anyone that the very name radical Islam sounds like an anathema to the high ranking members of the administration.</p>
<p>The lack of strategy designed to neutralize the most serious danger for the future not only of the United States, but also of the Western Civilization, is particularly disturbing in light of potential dangers lurking in the depth of Egyptian politics on the eve of the elections. What are the American contingency plans in case of a circa 1979 Iranian like situation in Egypt where a possible outbreak of violence could bring the Muslim Brotherhood to power? Let’s not forget the extremely well-developed ability of the radical Islamists to navigate the murky waters. What will be the reaction of the administration to such a development? </p>
<p>There is a probability for another, even tougher, circa Algeria 1994 challenge to make its emergence. Let’s imagine a situation when the Egyptian military leaders refuse to relinquish power to a Muslim Brotherhood that had just won the elections. The question is will the U.S. stand behind the legitimacy of the Brotherhood victory or rather would it side with the military trying to prevent an Islamic takeover of the country?  </p>
<p> Moving away from all those uncertainties, what is beyond any doubt is that the United States should proclaim loud and clear its decision not to extend any kind of financial or material assistance to any government that will violate its election campaign promise to secure the basic freedoms of its citizens.  In other words, what every future Egyptian voter should know is that the United States will be a determined enemy to any regime that will try to impose an unchangeable, fundamentalist and anti-democratic rule upon the people of Egypt.  </p>
<p>A clear message informing the world where the United States stands as far as the future of Egypt is concerned inevitably will have its imprint on the outcome of the impending election campaign.</p>
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